Description

This analysis provides a forecast of COTI prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-11 0.051659 0.060177 0.069525 0.080529 0.093108 0.107019 0.123548
2025-05-18 0.037983 0.048904 0.061996 0.078772 0.099617 0.124579 0.156639
2025-05-25 0.029061 0.040896 0.056227 0.077374 0.105593 0.141729 0.191249
2025-06-01 0.023488 0.035779 0.052831 0.077916 0.113514 0.161781 0.231641
2025-06-08 0.018725 0.030700 0.048398 0.076006 0.117414 0.176498 0.266240
2025-06-15 0.016508 0.028865 0.048160 0.079820 0.129605 0.203767 0.321067
2025-06-22 0.013959 0.025975 0.045754 0.079806 0.135792 0.222621 0.365220
2025-06-29 0.011565 0.022862 0.042425 0.077691 0.138177 0.235610 0.401352
2025-07-06 0.009819 0.020544 0.040025 0.076673 0.142024 0.251010 0.442427
2025-07-13 0.009083 0.019972 0.040582 0.080805 0.154958 0.282318 0.512133
2025-07-20 0.008287 0.019125 0.040479 0.083660 0.165850 0.311039 0.579836
2025-07-27 0.007081 0.017207 0.038022 0.081711 0.167686 0.324059 0.621340
2025-08-03 0.006151 0.015735 0.036280 0.081015 0.171968 0.342158 0.674116
2025-08-10 0.005215 0.014064 0.033869 0.078632 0.172690 0.353783 0.716191
2025-08-17 0.004477 0.012711 0.031924 0.076935 0.174538 0.367615 0.763506
2025-08-24 0.003989 0.011879 0.031010 0.077323 0.180668 0.390183 0.829283
2025-08-31 0.003425 0.010729 0.029164 0.075352 0.181531 0.402317 0.875590
2025-09-07 0.003248 0.010597 0.029758 0.079098 0.195237 0.441630 0.979261
2025-09-14 0.002898 0.009898 0.028823 0.079065 0.200463 0.463776 1.049658
2025-09-21 0.002502 0.008970 0.027142 0.076959 0.200676 0.475278 1.098798
2025-09-28 0.002203 0.008274 0.025962 0.075945 0.203312 0.492178 1.160597
2025-10-05 0.002124 0.008273 0.026707 0.080039 0.218672 0.538356 1.288906
2025-10-12 0.002004 0.008111 0.026967 0.082868 0.231197 0.579134 1.408274